Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.197264 0.222790 0.249817 0.280509 0.314339 0.350429 0.391786
2025-07-13 0.164608 0.199257 0.238063 0.284545 0.338500 0.398939 0.471540
2025-07-20 0.143459 0.184335 0.232356 0.292502 0.365351 0.450241 0.556114
2025-07-27 0.124674 0.169157 0.223722 0.294835 0.384239 0.492036 0.630858
2025-08-03 0.111583 0.159025 0.219515 0.301163 0.407208 0.538883 0.713154
2025-08-10 0.101645 0.151538 0.217432 0.309224 0.431937 0.588295 0.800214
2025-08-17 0.089951 0.140201 0.208892 0.307545 0.443128 0.620169 0.865552
2025-08-24 0.080561 0.130956 0.202108 0.307232 0.455427 0.653301 0.933160
2025-08-31 0.072348 0.122469 0.195458 0.306230 0.466158 0.684178 0.998348
2025-09-07 0.067179 0.117975 0.194038 0.312275 0.486621 0.728669 1.083196
2025-09-14 0.061150 0.111479 0.188996 0.312419 0.498269 0.760972 1.151954
2025-09-21 0.055829 0.105552 0.184253 0.312479 0.509454 0.792658 1.220531
2025-09-28 0.050746 0.099667 0.179325 0.312222 0.520579 0.825362 1.292877
2025-10-05 0.047033 0.095746 0.177197 0.316106 0.538016 0.867789 1.380665
2025-10-12 0.044525 0.093695 0.177935 0.324508 0.562672 0.921660 1.486908
2025-10-19 0.041190 0.089773 0.175169 0.326896 0.577818 0.961617 1.573647
2025-10-26 0.038896 0.087561 0.175133 0.333715 0.600183 1.013159 1.679227
2025-11-02 0.037087 0.086093 0.176253 0.342459 0.625909 1.070595 1.795354
2025-11-09 0.033905 0.081546 0.171456 0.340602 0.633952 1.100537 1.869975
2025-11-16 0.031229 0.077739 0.167694 0.340247 0.644321 1.134288 1.951273
2025-11-23 0.028707 0.073975 0.163695 0.339147 0.653228 1.165804 2.029760
2025-11-30 0.027307 0.072492 0.163944 0.345733 0.675508 1.219487 2.144702
2025-12-07 0.025301 0.069433 0.160853 0.345888 0.686473 1.254884 2.231206